Is it worth investing?
NVIDIA Corporation is a solid business, at a price to match.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a company in the Semiconductors industry, listed on NASDAQ, with a market capitalisation of 4.85 trillion USD. The stock trades at 200.42 USD, 15% below its 52-week high.
Against trailing twelve-month earnings, the price asks 30.4 times profit, versus 64.0 times for the industry median. Return on equity stands at 134.9%, against an industry median of 6.8%. Revenue has grown 66.9% a year over the past five years.
Over the past twelve months the stock returned +44.0%, against +24.8% for SPY over the same period. The analysis below covers valuation, profitability, growth, the balance sheet and price behaviour, with data updated daily.
Key data
The reported figures, before any interpretation
Price and Trading
- Open The price at which NVIDIA Corporation shares first traded in the latest session.
- Close The price of the last NVIDIA Corporation trade in the session that closed.
- Day range The lowest and highest price NVIDIA Corporation shares reached in that session.
- Volume How many NVIDIA Corporation shares changed hands in the latest session.
- 52-week range The lowest and highest price of NVIDIA Corporation shares over the past year.
- Position in the 52-week range Where the current price of NVIDIA Corporation shares sits between the low and the high of the past year. 100% means right at the high.
- 50-day average The average price of NVIDIA Corporation shares over the last 50 sessions. Shows the short-term trend.
- 200-day average The average price of NVIDIA Corporation shares over the last 200 sessions. Shows the long-term trend.
- Market cap The market value of all NVIDIA Corporation shares combined.
Earnings and Valuation
- Earnings per share How much net profit belongs to a single NVIDIA Corporation share over the last twelve months.
- Estimated earnings, current year The earnings per share analysts expect from NVIDIA Corporation for the current financial year.
- Estimated earnings, next year The earnings per share expected from NVIDIA Corporation for the following financial year.
- Revenue per share How much of the annual sales of NVIDIA Corporation belongs to a single share.
- Book value per share How much NVIDIA Corporation equity belongs to one share, once debt is subtracted from assets.
- Revenue, last 12 months Total NVIDIA Corporation sales across the last four reported quarters.
- Price / earnings How many years of current profit a NVIDIA Corporation share costs at today price.
- Forward price / earnings The same ratio, but against the profit NVIDIA Corporation is expected to make next year.
- PEG The price/earnings ratio of NVIDIA Corporation divided by its growth rate. Below 1 is considered cheap relative to how fast it grows.
- Enterprise value / EBITDA The price of the whole NVIDIA Corporation business, debt included, against operating profit before depreciation.
Return and Risk
Moderate risk · 60- Net margin How much net profit NVIDIA Corporation keeps out of every unit of sales.
- Return on equity How much net profit NVIDIA Corporation produces from shareholder money.
- Dividend yield How much NVIDIA Corporation pays out in dividends each year, relative to the share price.
- Dividend per share The estimated annual amount received for each NVIDIA Corporation share held.
- Payout ratio What share of NVIDIA Corporation profit goes back to shareholders as dividends. The rest stays in the company.
- Beta How strongly NVIDIA Corporation shares move against the market. 1 means the same, above 1 means wider swings.
- Debt / equity How much debt NVIDIA Corporation carries for every unit of equity.
- Short interest as % of float What share of freely tradable NVIDIA Corporation stock is sold short, as a bet on a decline.
- Days to cover short positions How many normal trading days it would take to close every short position on NVIDIA Corporation.
Some values update after the trading session opens, others are recalculated after it closes. Figures from the financial statements change only when results are published.
Verdict
The NVIDIA Corporation score from 0 to 100, built from over 400 financial indicators. Not investment advice.At NVIDIA Corporation, earnings per share have grown 204% a year for three years.
And cash more than covers all debt.
Return on capital exceeds the cost of that capital. Revenue grows 100% a year. Against ten-year average profit, the price asks 196 times as much.
- In Technology, NVIDIA Corporation is above the sector average on growth, quality and momentum, below it on shareholder yield and stability.
- neutral verdicts returned a median of +12.2% over one year, across 63,296 assessments.
Analysis produced automatically by einvestitii.ro, on data as of aug. 24, 2026. It is not investment advice. Who produces it, what it rests on and what conflicts of interest exist — in the full disclosure.
Arguments for and against
What supports the case and what weakens it
Pro 10 arguments
- 💰Return on equity is 134.9%.Above the typical company in the sector, which gets 10.9%.
- 💰The net margin at NVIDIA Corporation is 63.0%, above the typical company in the sector.The sector median is 7.2%.
- 🚀Earnings per share grew 95.4% a year, five years running.The typical company in the sector grew 11.5% a year over the same period.
See all 10
- 🚀Revenue grew 66.9% a year, five years running.The typical company in the sector grew 11.4% a year over the same period.
- 🏦Debt is 0.06 times annual operating profit.Below the sector median of 1.4. A weak stretch would not strain results.
- 🛡The bankruptcy model places the company in the safe zone.The Altman score is 16.47, against the 2.60 threshold below which the risk zone starts.
- 🔥The 50-day price average sits above the 200-day.The opposite of the warning setup. The price sits 6.8% above the long average.
- 💰Each unit reinvested produces more than it costs.Return on capital is 72.6%, its cost 14.7%. Growth adds value.
- 🛡Short-selling pressure is minimal.Only 1.0% of the free float is sold short, and covering would take 1.84 days.
- 📊The last 8 reports beat analyst estimates.The latest by 5.7%. The rate over eight quarters is 100.0%.
Against 5 arguments
- The dividend yields 0.1% a year, below the sector.The sector median pays 4.7%. Income seekers find more elsewhere.
- ⚖️At NVIDIA Corporation, the price is 30.4 times annual earnings.The sector median sits at 27.5.
- 🔻5 insiders sold $171.17M of stock over the past year.No purchases in the same period. Sales can have personal reasons, but the direction is unanimous.
See all 5
- The models find no durable competitive advantage.No identified barrier that would protect margins from competition.
- 📉Institutions were net sellers last quarter: 15 funds trimmed, 11 added.They still hold 70.8% of the company.
What it is really worth
Value & Valuation
The market price is what buyers are asking today. Here we work out what the share should cost based on the company’s own figures: using the valuation models professional investors rely on, the growth the current price assumes, and the target set by the analysts who follow the company.
what analysts think
What the analysts covering the company think, and where they see the price twelve months out. These are their estimates, not ours.
- Strong sell 1 2%
- Sell 0 0%
- Hold 7 11%
- Buy 12 19%
- Strong buy 43 68%
The analyst consensus is more optimistic than our score, by 37 points on the same 0 to 100 scale.
Analyst estimates, third-party source. These are not our verdict.
-
Price today $200.42
-
Revisions, last 30 days 40 ↑1 ↓
-
Expected earnings growth +67.33%
-
Analysts covering 63
Analyst estimates, third-party source.
fair value
Slightly overvalued price $200.42the price is 1.3 times the estimate from 4 models
What NVIDIA Corporation shares should cost, according to the valuation models of the best-known investors in history.
These are estimates, not price targets: every model starts from assumptions about the future, and if the assumptions change, so does the number.
- Median of 4 modelsNot the average, but the middle value. A model that falls far out of line does not drag the result with it.
- Confidence in the estimateHow close the models are to one another.
- Spread across modelsHow far they deviate from the median on average. Below 50% means they are reasonably close.
- Growth the price demandsHow fast profit would have to grow, year after year, for today’s price to make sense.
- Growth actually deliveredThe average growth of past years. Compare it with the line above.
4 different methods, the same company figures. Each assumes something different about the future, and that is where the differences come from.
For today’s price to be justified, earnings would have to grow 42.0% a year. Over the past five years they grew 95.4%.
- Growth the price requiresThe annual pace earnings would have to reach for today’s price to be justified.
- Growth actually deliveredHow much earnings per share actually grew over the past five years.
- The gapHow far above past performance the expectation in the price sits.
- Value with no growthWhat the company would be worth if it stayed exactly as it is today.
Starting from a base value of $110.89, how much the result changes if you alter each assumption in turn.
The cost of capital moves the estimate almost three times as much as earnings growth.
projections
computed on 18 august 2026These are not predictions. The model splits the possible outcomes into ranges and reports how often the price landed in each, across similar cases in the past.
Scenario, six months out
-
Expected growth over 12 months +2,4%between −33% and +54%
-
Expected growth over 3 years, per year +10,7%between +1% and +17%
-
Expected growth over 5 years, per year +11,5%between +1% and +14%
- Lost per year because the stock is expensive todayToday's price embeds a high expectation. The model assumes investors will, over time, pay less for the same profit — and that difference is subtracted from the annual growth.
Quantiles of a probabilistic model. Not price targets and no guarantee of future gains.
- Chance it ends higher than today 59%
- Chance it beats the index 53% index +4,5%
- Chance of a gain over 20% 25%
- Chance of a drop over 10% 28%
- Chance of a drop over 20% 17%
If the market fell 20%, the model expects −39,9% for this stock — because it moves 2,00 times as hard as the market. On a 40% fall: −79,8%.
Probabilities verified on historical cases.
The estimates are generated automatically by a proprietary machine-learning and AI model. See the methodology
This information is general in nature and is not investment advice. In line with Regulation (EU) 596/2014 on market abuse and Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 on artificial intelligence. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full methodology
profitability
return on capital 72.57%The engine runs well
Between what capital produces and what it costs, 57.90% remains.
- net margin62.97%
- consecutive revenue growth2 years
growth
revenue, 3 years 100.05%The pace has accelerated
The price assumes the pace holds. With no growth at all, the estimate drops to $34.46.
balance sheet and dividends
Solid balance sheet
- net debt$-423M
- dividend yield0.47%
- of returned capital goes to buybacks45.44%
Solid quality
and a premium price.
That the business is among the best is not in question. The question is whether it is worth paying today’s price for it.
For this to work out, results would have to grow enough to catch up with the price paid today.
Disclosure (legal information) See details Hide
Analysis produced by einvestitii.ro, founder . We are not supervised by the Romanian Financial Supervisory Authority. This is not personalised investment advice. Fair values are estimates, not guaranteed prices.
- Calculated 24 August 2026
- Price used $200.42 (as of 10 June 2026)
- Estimated fair value $153.54 — an estimate dependent on assumptions (cost of capital, growth, terminal value). Not a price target. Confidence: Înaltă.
- Updates On every recalculation of the company fundamentals.
- Verdict changed no (score +0.5 against the previous assessment)
- Conflicts of interest We hold no positions in the instruments analysed and receive no payment from issuers for assessments. Pages may contain affiliate links to brokers, marked as such, which do not influence the scores.