Is it worth investing?
Tesla Inc, rapid expansion in electric vehicles amid rising scrutiny
$381.59
+23.66% over 12 months
Last updated: iun. 10, 2026
Tesla Inc designs, manufactures and sells electric vehicles, energy storage solutions and solar systems, serving major markets in North America, China and other key regions. The company earns most of its revenue from vehicle sales, complemented by software features, digital upgrades, charging infrastructure and integrated energy products for residential, commercial and utility customers.
Within the electric vehicle industry, Tesla competes with established automakers such as Volkswagen, General Motors and Ford, as well as focused players like BYD, NIO and Li Auto. The business is in a growth phase but faces mounting competitive pressure. Its differentiation stems from vertical integration, proprietary software, a dedicated charging network and a brand strongly associated with advanced technology.
Investors are watching whether Tesla can sustain profitability and innovation while competition intensifies and regulations evolve. The open question remains if expansion into automotive software, autonomous driving and energy solutions will offset potential pressure on vehicle demand, pricing power and manufacturing costs over the longer term.
Financial summary
The reported figures, before any interpretation
Price and Trading
- Open The price at which Tesla Inc shares first traded in the latest session.
- Close The price of the last Tesla Inc trade in the session that closed.
- Day range The lowest and highest price Tesla Inc shares reached in that session.
- Volume How many Tesla Inc shares changed hands in the latest session.
- 52-week range The lowest and highest price of Tesla Inc shares over the past year.
- Position in the 52-week range Where the current price of Tesla Inc shares sits between the low and the high of the past year. 100% means right at the high.
- 50-day average The average price of Tesla Inc shares over the last 50 sessions. Shows the short-term trend.
- 200-day average The average price of Tesla Inc shares over the last 200 sessions. Shows the long-term trend.
- Market cap The market value of all Tesla Inc shares combined.
Earnings and Valuation
- Earnings per share How much net profit belongs to a single Tesla Inc share over the last twelve months.
- Estimated earnings, current year The earnings per share analysts expect from Tesla Inc for the current financial year.
- Estimated earnings, next year The earnings per share expected from Tesla Inc for the following financial year.
- Revenue per share How much of the annual sales of Tesla Inc belongs to a single share.
- Book value per share How much Tesla Inc equity belongs to one share, once debt is subtracted from assets.
- Revenue, last 12 months Total Tesla Inc sales across the last four reported quarters.
- Price / earnings How many years of current profit a Tesla Inc share costs at today price.
- Forward price / earnings The same ratio, but against the profit Tesla Inc is expected to make next year.
- PEG The price/earnings ratio of Tesla Inc divided by its growth rate. Below 1 is considered cheap relative to how fast it grows.
- Enterprise value / EBITDA The price of the whole Tesla Inc business, debt included, against operating profit before depreciation.
Return and Risk
Moderate risk · 63- Net margin How much net profit Tesla Inc keeps out of every unit of sales.
- Return on equity How much net profit Tesla Inc produces from shareholder money.
- Dividend yield How much Tesla Inc pays out in dividends each year, relative to the share price.
- Dividend per share The estimated annual amount received for each Tesla Inc share held.
- Payout ratio What share of Tesla Inc profit goes back to shareholders as dividends. The rest stays in the company.
- Beta How strongly Tesla Inc shares move against the market. 1 means the same, above 1 means wider swings.
- Debt / equity How much debt Tesla Inc carries for every unit of equity.
- Short interest as % of float What share of freely tradable Tesla Inc stock is sold short, as a bet on a decline.
- Days to cover short positions How many normal trading days it would take to close every short position on Tesla Inc.
Some values update after the trading session opens, others are recalculated after it closes. Figures from the financial statements change only when results are published.
Analyst consensus
What the 47 analysts covering the company think
Hold
- Strong sell 7 15%
- Sell 3 6%
- Hold 16 34%
- Buy 7 15%
- Strong buy 14 30%
The analyst consensus is more optimistic than our score, by 47 points on the same 0 to 100 scale.
Analyst estimates, third-party source. These are not our verdict.
Price target
Where analysts see the price twelve months out
$411.89
+7.94% against today price
52-week low $273.21
52-week high $498.83
target $411.89
today $381.59
Rise from the low of the past year
+39.67%
Fall from the high of the past year
-23.50%
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Price today $381.59
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Revisions, last 30 days 3 ↑19 ↓
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Expected earnings growth +22.52%
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Analysts covering 47
Analyst estimates, third-party source.
Fundamentals
36.1
What the balance sheet and income statement say
Weak
- Piotroski F-score Nine tests of financial health, compared with last year. Above 7 means Tesla Inc is improving.
- Mohanram G-score Eight tests for growth companies: research spending, stable margins, cash above accounting profit. Applied to Tesla Inc.
- Cash operating profitability How much operating cash Tesla Inc draws from its assets, before accounting adjustments.
- Asset turnover How much in sales Tesla Inc generates from every unit of assets.
Return on capital is slowing
The business destroys value against its cost of capital
Technicals
50.0
What the price chart says
Average
- RSI (14 days) How fast the price of Tesla Inc shares has risen recently. Above 70 means heavy buying, below 30 heavy selling.
- MACD histogram The gap between the fast and the slow trend at Tesla Inc. Positive means the advance is accelerating.
- ADX (14 days) The strength of the trend at Tesla Inc, whatever its direction. Above 25 means a clear trend.
- 12-month return, ex last month Classic momentum: the gain of Tesla Inc shares over the past year, ignoring the last month.
Death Cross active - the 50-day average is below the 200-day
Price below the recent low of the range
Sentiment
52.1
Who holds the stock and what the market expects
Average
- Institutional ownership What share of Tesla Inc stock is held by funds and institutions.
- Insider ownership What share of Tesla Inc stock is held by management and directors.
- Market sentiment The sentiment regime of the market Tesla Inc trades in, inferred from market and credit indicators.
- Residual momentum The part of momentum in Tesla Inc shares that remains once the market influence is removed.
The market is in a Risk-On regime
Short interest: Minimal
Safety
62.8
How far the company is from financial trouble
Solid
- Altman Z" The bankruptcy score for Tesla Inc, in the variant that suits its sector. Above 2.6 means the safe zone.
- Distance to default How many standard deviations separate the value of Tesla Inc from its debt threshold. More is better.
- Beneish M-score A detector of accounting manipulation. Below -1.78 means no signs appear at Tesla Inc.
1 warnings, none serious
No signs of accounting manipulation
Who it suits
It depends what you are after
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Investor over decades 2.9You buy and hold, whatever the cycle.
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Cautious, you want safety 43.5The priority is not losing, rather than winning big.
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Offensive, you want growth 43.5You accept volatility for a higher return.
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Tactical, short term 8.0You move in and out on price and momentum signals.
The gap is wide: the same company suits one type of investor and not another, because each lens weighs something different.
Risk
Falls harder than the market
29
resilience score, 28th percentile in the sector
- Crash-ul COVID-19, 2020 How much Tesla Inc shares lost from the high reached to the low of that period.
- Bear market 2022 How much Tesla Inc shares lost from the high reached to the low of that period.
- Held up better than Out of comparable companies, how many fell harder than Tesla Inc in the same crises.
- Criză severă, stil 2008 (-40%) An estimate for Tesla Inc under a severe market scenario. It is not a price forecast.
- Annual volatility How widely the price of Tesla Inc shares swings over a year, measured statistically.
- Largest historical drawdown The deepest fall of Tesla Inc shares from a high to the low that followed it, across the whole available history.
Verdict
Our verdict, from an automated analysis of over 400 indicators
12.2/100
Foarte neatractiv
high confidence
Expensive
Balanced
Growth
Tesla Inc produces 4.54% on capital and pays 12.57% for it. But the price today asks 369.75x earnings, and the growth rate has slowed to 5.19% a year.
Scores across the six pillarsprofitability
return on capital 4.54%This is the weak spot
produces
4.54%
costs
12.57%
Capital costs more than it produces: -8.03% short of the point where the business starts creating value.
- net margin3.96%
valuation
price / earnings 369.75xThis is the problem
369.75xprice / earnings
$0.30 – $74.40the range across 6 methods
The 6 methods give results 249.8 times apart, so no single estimated fair value is trustworthy.
- annual growth the price requires38.50%
- growth delivered historically37.11%
- value with no growth at all$21.68
growth
revenue, 3 years 5.19%The pace has slowed
24.63%revenue, 5-year average
5.19%revenue, 3-year average
94.32%of today's price depends on future growth
The price assumes the pace holds. With no growth at all, the estimate drops to $21.68.
balance sheet and dividends
Solid balance sheet
0.69 yearsof operating profit to clear all debt
- net debt$-7.37B
- of returned capital goes to buybacks0.00%
arguments for and against
7 for · 9 againstWhat supports the case and what weakens it
Pro 7 arguments
- In October 2024, Tesla unveiled the Cybercab robotaxi with no steering wheel or pedals.The launch of Cybercab and the Robovan concept signals a stated strategic shift toward autonomous vehicles and mobility services, which can add recurring revenue streams from robotaxi networks beyond traditional one-off car sales. Reuters, 11 Oct 2024
- On May 23, 2024, Tesla broke ground on a Megapack factory in Shanghai.The new energy facility in the Lin-gang area is designed to produce up to 10,000 Megapacks per year, expanding Tesla’s global energy-storage capacity and diversifying revenue toward utility and grid-operator contracts that are less tied to the auto demand cycle. Xinhua, 23 May 2024
- In Q4 2024, Tesla reached a record 11 GWh of energy storage deployed.The company reported record Powerwall and Megapack deployments and record gross profit in the Energy segment, suggesting this business line is becoming a more meaningful profit contributor with growth potential that is partly independent from vehicle unit sales. Tesla IR, 29 Jan 2025
4 more arguments
- Tesla introduced its new V4 cabinet for charging stations in 2024.V4 supports 400-1,000 V architectures and power levels up to 500 kW for passenger cars and 1.2 MW for Tesla Semi, which can increase utilization of the Supercharger network and service revenue, strengthening Tesla’s infrastructure advantage versus other automakers. Tesla IR, 29 Jan 2025
- In January 2024, Tesla committed 500 million dollars to an AI supercomputer in Buffalo.Investing in in-house compute infrastructure for training autonomous-driving systems can reduce reliance on external GPU suppliers and accelerate improvements in FSD software, supporting Tesla’s robotaxi plans and potential future revenue from licensing its autonomy technology. Yahoo Finance, 6 Feb 2025
- In July 2025, Musk said the Dojo 2 system could operate at scale in 2026.On the earnings call, he outlined a target capacity roughly equivalent to 100,000 H100 GPUs, which would give Tesla a significant edge in training vision and planning models for autonomy, with potential impact on product quality and high-margin software revenue. TechCrunch, 2 Sep 2025
- In 2026, Tesla is weighing solar-cell production expansion across several U.S. states.Plans to boost output at Buffalo and potential investments in Arizona and Idaho indicate an intention to scale integrated solar and storage products, which can strengthen Tesla’s role in the energy transition and generate recurring revenue from infrastructure and project-based sales. Bloomberg, 6 Feb 2026
Against 9 arguments
- In March 2026, NHTSA escalated its probe into 3.2 million Tesla vehicles equipped with FSD.Opening an engineering analysis is the last step before a potential recall, which could lead to additional costs, tighter constraints on autonomous driving software and reputational risks for a technology that is central to Tesla’s long term strategy and valuation assumptions. Reuters, 19 Mar 2026
- In June 2026, Reuters reported Tesla had presented FSD safety data seen as misleading to EU regulators.Researchers’ criticism of Tesla’s self published statistics used to support FSD safety may undermine regulators’ trust, leading to approval delays, extra testing requirements or usage restrictions in Europe, which would limit the revenue potential from autonomous software and services in a major market. Reuters, 15 Jun 2026
- Bloomberg reported in October 2025 that NHTSA opened a new probe into FSD over traffic law violations.A fresh investigation into how the system handles road signs and traffic rules raises the risk of future functionality limits or costly software changes, which could reduce the appeal of the FSD package and the recurring revenue Tesla expects from subscriptions and feature unlocks. Bloomberg, 9 Oct 2025
6 more arguments
- In December 2025, NHTSA opened an investigation into emergency door release handles on certain Model 3 cars.Although the agency has not yet decided on a recall, an adverse finding could force Tesla into additional repairs and reinforce perceptions of quality and safety issues, potentially weakening consumer confidence in a core high volume model that underpins the company’s global delivery base. Bloomberg, 24 Dec 2025
- NHTSA documents from April 2025 show a safety recall for certain 2025 Model 3 and 2026 Model Y vehicles.Having to fix safety issues on very recent vehicles points to operational risks in design and production processes, and any further recalls on new generations could increase costs and disrupt the rollout pace of refreshed models that Tesla relies on to sustain demand in maturing markets. NHTSA, 18 Apr 2025
- Business Times noted in January 2026 that Tesla lost its global BEV leadership position to BYD.With Tesla’s fully electric deliveries declining for a second consecutive year while Chinese rivals gain share using cheaper models, the company faces structural competitive pressure that may force further price cuts and heavy investment in new products, weighing on future profitability even if unit volumes stabilize. Business Times, 4 Jan 2026
- Financial Times reported that BYD overtook Tesla in European BEV sales in April 2025.Losing leadership in a key region for the EV transition suggests Tesla’s brand and technology edge is eroding, and regaining market share may require substantial spending on marketing and product development, with uncertain payback and potential pressure on margins if European buyers remain price sensitive. Financial Times, 22 Apr 2025
- The Wall Street Journal reported in February 2026 the departure of a top Tesla executive overseeing production.Frequent changes in the leadership team, especially in critical operational roles, can create execution risks for expanding manufacturing capacity and launching new models, potentially delaying growth plans and limiting Tesla’s ability to respond quickly to intensifying competition in key segments. Wall Street Journal, 11 Feb 2026
- In June 2025, NHTSA said it was investigating incidents involving Tesla’s newly launched US robotaxi service.The regulator’s swift engagement with Tesla after videos showed problematic robotaxi behavior suggests that scaling this service will be closely supervised, which could slow deployment and monetization of the promised autonomous fleet that features prominently in many bullish scenarios for the company’s long term earnings. Bloomberg, 23 Jun 2025
what is left to decide
Below-average quality
and a premium price.
The weaknesses of the business come at a price that does not compensate for them. That is two reasons for caution, not one.
For this to work out, results would have to grow enough to catch up with the price paid today.
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Analysis produced by einvestitii.ro, founder . We are not supervised by the Romanian Financial Supervisory Authority. This is not personalised investment advice. Fair values are estimates, not guaranteed prices.
- Calculated 17 August 2026
- Price used $381.59 (as of 10 June 2026)
- Estimated fair value $22.80 — an estimate dependent on assumptions (cost of capital, growth, terminal value). Not a price target. Confidence: Înaltă.
- Updates On every recalculation of the company fundamentals.
- Verdict changed no (score +39.6 against the previous assessment)
- Conflicts of interest We hold no positions in the instruments analysed and receive no payment from issuers for assessments. Pages may contain affiliate links to brokers, marked as such, which do not influence the scores.