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Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ.US) — analiză, scor și evaluare

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Is it worth investing?

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is a middle-of-the-road business, at an attractive price.

$45.52 +55.21% over 12 months Last updated: iun. 10, 2026
Financial summary The reported figures, before any interpretation

Price and Trading

  • Open The price at which Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares first traded in the latest session.
  • Close The price of the last Canadian Natural Resources Ltd trade in the session that closed.
  • Day range The lowest and highest price Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares reached in that session.
  • Volume How many Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares changed hands in the latest session.
  • 52-week range The lowest and highest price of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares over the past year.
  • Position in the 52-week range Where the current price of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares sits between the low and the high of the past year. 100% means right at the high.
  • 50-day average The average price of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares over the last 50 sessions. Shows the short-term trend.
  • 200-day average The average price of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares over the last 200 sessions. Shows the long-term trend.
  • Market cap The market value of all Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares combined.

Earnings and Valuation

  • Earnings per share How much net profit belongs to a single Canadian Natural Resources Ltd share over the last twelve months.
  • Estimated earnings, current year The earnings per share analysts expect from Canadian Natural Resources Ltd for the current financial year.
  • Estimated earnings, next year The earnings per share expected from Canadian Natural Resources Ltd for the following financial year.
  • Revenue per share How much of the annual sales of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd belongs to a single share.
  • Book value per share How much Canadian Natural Resources Ltd equity belongs to one share, once debt is subtracted from assets.
  • Revenue, last 12 months Total Canadian Natural Resources Ltd sales across the last four reported quarters.
  • Price / earnings How many years of current profit a Canadian Natural Resources Ltd share costs at today price.
  • Forward price / earnings The same ratio, but against the profit Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is expected to make next year.
  • PEG The price/earnings ratio of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd divided by its growth rate. Below 1 is considered cheap relative to how fast it grows.
  • Enterprise value / EBITDA The price of the whole Canadian Natural Resources Ltd business, debt included, against operating profit before depreciation.

Return and Risk

Moderate risk · 59
  • Net margin How much net profit Canadian Natural Resources Ltd keeps out of every unit of sales.
  • Return on equity How much net profit Canadian Natural Resources Ltd produces from shareholder money.
  • Dividend yield How much Canadian Natural Resources Ltd pays out in dividends each year, relative to the share price.
  • Dividend per share The estimated annual amount received for each Canadian Natural Resources Ltd share held.
  • Payout ratio What share of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd profit goes back to shareholders as dividends. The rest stays in the company.
  • Beta How strongly Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares move against the market. 1 means the same, above 1 means wider swings.
  • Debt / equity How much debt Canadian Natural Resources Ltd carries for every unit of equity.
  • Short interest as % of float What share of freely tradable Canadian Natural Resources Ltd stock is sold short, as a bet on a decline.
  • Days to cover short positions How many normal trading days it would take to close every short position on Canadian Natural Resources Ltd.

Some values update after the trading session opens, others are recalculated after it closes. Figures from the financial statements change only when results are published.

Analyst consensus What the 22 analysts covering the company think
Buy average 3.73 out of 5, from 22 analysts
Strong sell Strong buy
  • Strong sell 0 0%
  • Sell 2 9%
  • Hold 9 41%
  • Buy 4 18%
  • Strong buy 7 32%

The analyst consensus is in line with our score.

Analyst estimates, third-party source. These are not our verdict.

Price target Where analysts see the price twelve months out
$45.85 +0.72% against today price
52-week low $28.30 52-week high $50.98
target $45.85 today $45.52
Rise from the low of the past year +60.87%
Fall from the high of the past year -10.71%
  • Price today $45.52
  • Revisions, last 30 days 7 ↑3 ↓
  • Expected earnings growth -15.36%
  • Analysts covering 22

Analyst estimates, third-party source.

Fundamentals 74.3
What the balance sheet and income statement say
Strong
  • Piotroski F-score Nine tests of financial health, compared with last year. Above 7 means Canadian Natural Resources Ltd is improving.
  • Mohanram G-score Eight tests for growth companies: research spending, stable margins, cash above accounting profit. Applied to Canadian Natural Resources Ltd.
  • Cash operating profitability How much operating cash Canadian Natural Resources Ltd draws from its assets, before accounting adjustments.
  • Asset turnover How much in sales Canadian Natural Resources Ltd generates from every unit of assets.
Return on capital is holding steady
The business creates value above its cost of capital
Technicals 63.8
What the price chart says
Solid
  • RSI (14 days) How fast the price of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares has risen recently. Above 70 means heavy buying, below 30 heavy selling.
  • MACD histogram The gap between the fast and the slow trend at Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. Positive means the advance is accelerating.
  • ADX (14 days) The strength of the trend at Canadian Natural Resources Ltd, whatever its direction. Above 25 means a clear trend.
  • 12-month return, ex last month Classic momentum: the gain of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares over the past year, ignoring the last month.
Golden Cross active - the 50-day average is above the 200-day
Sentiment 65.8
Who holds the stock and what the market expects
Solid
  • Institutional ownership What share of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd stock is held by funds and institutions.
  • Insider ownership What share of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd stock is held by management and directors.
  • Market sentiment The sentiment regime of the market Canadian Natural Resources Ltd trades in, inferred from market and credit indicators.
  • Residual momentum The part of momentum in Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares that remains once the market influence is removed.
The market is in a Risk-On regime
Short interest: Minimal
Safety 58.9
How far the company is from financial trouble
Solid
  • Altman Z" The bankruptcy score for Canadian Natural Resources Ltd, in the variant that suits its sector. Above 2.6 means the safe zone.
  • Distance to default How many standard deviations separate the value of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd from its debt threshold. More is better.
  • Beneish M-score A detector of accounting manipulation. Below -1.78 means no signs appear at Canadian Natural Resources Ltd.
  • Free cash flow coverage How many times the free cash flow of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd covers its payment obligations.
1 serious flags and 1 warnings
The Beneish model flags a risk of manipulation
Who it suits It depends what you are after
  • Investor over decades 82.1
    You buy and hold, whatever the cycle.
  • Cautious, you want safety 65.4
    The priority is not losing, rather than winning big.
  • Offensive, you want growth 73.7
    You accept volatility for a higher return.
  • Tactical, short term 85.8
    You move in and out on price and momentum signals.

Scores differ moderately across lenses: the fit depends on the time horizon.

Risk Moves along with the market
48 resilience score, 67th percentile in the sector
  • Crash-ul COVID-19, 2020 How much Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares lost from the high reached to the low of that period.
  • Bear market 2022 How much Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares lost from the high reached to the low of that period.
  • Held up better than Out of comparable companies, how many fell harder than Canadian Natural Resources Ltd in the same crises.
  • Criză severă, stil 2008 (-40%) An estimate for Canadian Natural Resources Ltd under a severe market scenario. It is not a price forecast.
  • Annual volatility How widely the price of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares swings over a year, measured statistically.
  • Largest historical drawdown The deepest fall of Canadian Natural Resources Ltd shares from a high to the low that followed it, across the whole available history.
Verdict Our verdict, from an automated analysis of over 400 indicators
62.8/100 Neutru high confidence
Cheap Balanced Growth
Value stock

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd produces 19.13% on capital and pays 7.96% for it. The price today asks 11.47x earnings, and the growth rate has slowed to -3.75% a year.

Scores across the six pillars

profitability

return on capital 19.13%

The engine runs at middling speed

produces
19.13%
costs
7.96%

Between what capital produces and what it costs, 11.17% remains.

  • net margin24.50%
  • consecutive revenue growth2 years

valuation

price / earnings 11.47x

This is the opportunity

11.47xprice / earnings
$24.37 – $113.68the range across 6 methods

The 6 methods give results 4.7 times apart, so no single estimated fair value is trustworthy.

  • annual growth the price requires5.36%
  • growth delivered historically-2.06%
  • value with no growth at all$24.37

growth

revenue, 3 years -3.75%

The pace has slowed

20.35%revenue, 5-year average
-3.75%revenue, 3-year average
46.46%of today's price depends on future growth

balance sheet and dividends

estimated rating Aa

Solid balance sheet

Aaestimated credit rating
0.90 yearsof operating profit to clear all debt
  • net debt$13.81B
  • dividend yield3.90%
  • of returned capital goes to buybacks19.51%

arguments for and against

8 for · 4 against

What supports the case and what weakens it

Pro 8 arguments

  • Piotroski F-score (0–9): 8.Better than 97% of companies in the sector. Nine financial health checks; each one passed adds a point.
  • Return on assets: 11.79%.Better than 95% of companies in the sector. How much profit the company draws from the assets it owns.
  • Return on equity: 24.41%.Better than 90% of companies in the sector. How much net profit the company generates from shareholders' money.
5 more arguments
  • Rule of 40: 42.94%.Better than 87% of companies in the sector. Revenue growth added to the profitability margin.
  • Free cash flow margin: 19.07%.Better than 81% of companies in the sector. How much of sales is left as free cash after investment.
  • Free cash flow growth (5-year annual): 31.29%.Better than 80% of companies in the sector. Average yearly growth in free cash flow.
  • Montier C-score (0–6): 1.Better than 78% of companies in the sector. Six warning signals about the quality of accounting.
  • Probability of distress (Ohlson): 0.01%.Better than 73% of companies in the sector. Statistical model estimating the risk of financial distress.

Against 4 arguments

  • Beneish M-score: -0.28.Only 7% of companies in the sector do worse on this measure. Model that detects patterns of aggressive accounting.
  • Stress test (composite): 51.3.Only 12% of companies in the sector do worse on this measure. Aggregate score across several simulated crisis scenarios.
  • Cash conversion cycle (5-year average): 48 days.Only 23% of companies in the sector do worse on this measure. The five-year average of the conversion cycle — it shows consistency, not just this year.
1 more arguments
  • Cash conversion cycle: 49 days.Only 25% of companies in the sector do worse on this measure. How many days pass between paying suppliers and collecting from customers.
what is left to decide

Middling quality
and an attractive price.

The price is cheap but the business is ordinary. The question is whether cheap makes up for the lack of an edge.

For this to work out, the profitability of the business would have to recover and stay there.

Disclosure (legal information) See details Hide

Analysis produced by einvestitii.ro, founder . We are not supervised by the Romanian Financial Supervisory Authority. This is not personalised investment advice. Fair values are estimates, not guaranteed prices.

  • Calculated 10 August 2026
  • Price used $45.52 (as of 10 June 2026)
  • Estimated fair value $71.60 — an estimate dependent on assumptions (cost of capital, growth, terminal value). Not a price target. Confidence: Scăzută.
  • Updates On every recalculation of the company fundamentals.
  • Verdict changed no (score +0.5 against the previous assessment)
  • Conflicts of interest We hold no positions in the instruments analysed and receive no payment from issuers for assessments. Pages may contain affiliate links to brokers, marked as such, which do not influence the scores.