Is it worth investing?
ConocoPhillips is a middle-of-the-road business, at a price that demands patience.
$119.92
+44.74% over 12 months
Last updated: iun. 10, 2026
Financial summary
The reported figures, before any interpretation
Price and Trading
- Open The price at which ConocoPhillips shares first traded in the latest session.
- Close The price of the last ConocoPhillips trade in the session that closed.
- Day range The lowest and highest price ConocoPhillips shares reached in that session.
- Volume How many ConocoPhillips shares changed hands in the latest session.
- 52-week range The lowest and highest price of ConocoPhillips shares over the past year.
- Position in the 52-week range Where the current price of ConocoPhillips shares sits between the low and the high of the past year. 100% means right at the high.
- 50-day average The average price of ConocoPhillips shares over the last 50 sessions. Shows the short-term trend.
- 200-day average The average price of ConocoPhillips shares over the last 200 sessions. Shows the long-term trend.
- Market cap The market value of all ConocoPhillips shares combined.
Earnings and Valuation
- Earnings per share How much net profit belongs to a single ConocoPhillips share over the last twelve months.
- Estimated earnings, current year The earnings per share analysts expect from ConocoPhillips for the current financial year.
- Estimated earnings, next year The earnings per share expected from ConocoPhillips for the following financial year.
- Revenue per share How much of the annual sales of ConocoPhillips belongs to a single share.
- Book value per share How much ConocoPhillips equity belongs to one share, once debt is subtracted from assets.
- Revenue, last 12 months Total ConocoPhillips sales across the last four reported quarters.
- Price / earnings How many years of current profit a ConocoPhillips share costs at today price.
- Forward price / earnings The same ratio, but against the profit ConocoPhillips is expected to make next year.
- PEG The price/earnings ratio of ConocoPhillips divided by its growth rate. Below 1 is considered cheap relative to how fast it grows.
- Enterprise value / EBITDA The price of the whole ConocoPhillips business, debt included, against operating profit before depreciation.
Return and Risk
Low risk · 78- Net margin How much net profit ConocoPhillips keeps out of every unit of sales.
- Return on equity How much net profit ConocoPhillips produces from shareholder money.
- Dividend yield How much ConocoPhillips pays out in dividends each year, relative to the share price.
- Dividend per share The estimated annual amount received for each ConocoPhillips share held.
- Payout ratio What share of ConocoPhillips profit goes back to shareholders as dividends. The rest stays in the company.
- Beta How strongly ConocoPhillips shares move against the market. 1 means the same, above 1 means wider swings.
- Debt / equity How much debt ConocoPhillips carries for every unit of equity.
- Short interest as % of float What share of freely tradable ConocoPhillips stock is sold short, as a bet on a decline.
- Days to cover short positions How many normal trading days it would take to close every short position on ConocoPhillips.
Some values update after the trading session opens, others are recalculated after it closes. Figures from the financial statements change only when results are published.
Analyst consensus
What the 27 analysts covering the company think
Buy
- Strong sell 0 0%
- Sell 0 0%
- Hold 9 33%
- Buy 5 19%
- Strong buy 13 48%
The analyst consensus is more optimistic than our score, by 46 points on the same 0 to 100 scale.
Analyst estimates, third-party source. These are not our verdict.
Price target
Where analysts see the price twelve months out
$142.35
+18.70% against today price
52-week low $81.63
52-week high $134.87
target $142.35
today $119.92
Rise from the low of the past year
+46.90%
Fall from the high of the past year
-11.08%
-
Price today $119.92
-
Revisions, last 30 days 13 ↑3 ↓
-
Expected earnings growth -7.50%
-
Analysts covering 27
Analyst estimates, third-party source.
Fundamentals
65.8
What the balance sheet and income statement say
Solid
- Piotroski F-score Nine tests of financial health, compared with last year. Above 7 means ConocoPhillips is improving.
- Mohanram G-score Eight tests for growth companies: research spending, stable margins, cash above accounting profit. Applied to ConocoPhillips.
- Cash operating profitability How much operating cash ConocoPhillips draws from its assets, before accounting adjustments.
- Asset turnover How much in sales ConocoPhillips generates from every unit of assets.
Return on capital is slowing
The business creates value above its cost of capital
Technicals
66.8
What the price chart says
Solid
- RSI (14 days) How fast the price of ConocoPhillips shares has risen recently. Above 70 means heavy buying, below 30 heavy selling.
- MACD histogram The gap between the fast and the slow trend at ConocoPhillips. Positive means the advance is accelerating.
- ADX (14 days) The strength of the trend at ConocoPhillips, whatever its direction. Above 25 means a clear trend.
- 12-month return, ex last month Classic momentum: the gain of ConocoPhillips shares over the past year, ignoring the last month.
Golden Cross active - the 50-day average is above the 200-day
Sentiment
58.6
Who holds the stock and what the market expects
Solid
- Institutional ownership What share of ConocoPhillips stock is held by funds and institutions.
- Insider ownership What share of ConocoPhillips stock is held by management and directors.
- Market sentiment The sentiment regime of the market ConocoPhillips trades in, inferred from market and credit indicators.
- Residual momentum The part of momentum in ConocoPhillips shares that remains once the market influence is removed.
The market is in a Risk-On regime
Short interest: Minimal
Safety
78.2
How far the company is from financial trouble
Strong
- Altman Z" The bankruptcy score for ConocoPhillips, in the variant that suits its sector. Above 2.6 means the safe zone.
- Distance to default How many standard deviations separate the value of ConocoPhillips from its debt threshold. More is better.
- Beneish M-score A detector of accounting manipulation. Below -1.78 means no signs appear at ConocoPhillips.
- Free cash flow coverage How many times the free cash flow of ConocoPhillips covers its payment obligations.
1 warnings, none serious
No signs of accounting manipulation
Who it suits
It depends what you are after
-
Investor over decades 49.2You buy and hold, whatever the cycle.
-
Cautious, you want safety 66.4The priority is not losing, rather than winning big.
-
Offensive, you want growth 68.1You accept volatility for a higher return.
-
Tactical, short term 53.0You move in and out on price and momentum signals.
Scores differ moderately across lenses: the fit depends on the time horizon.
Risk
Holds up when the market falls
50
resilience score, 70th percentile in the sector
- Crash-ul COVID-19, 2020 How much ConocoPhillips shares lost from the high reached to the low of that period.
- Bear market 2022 How much ConocoPhillips shares lost from the high reached to the low of that period.
- Held up better than Out of comparable companies, how many fell harder than ConocoPhillips in the same crises.
- Criză severă, stil 2008 (-40%) An estimate for ConocoPhillips under a severe market scenario. It is not a price forecast.
- Annual volatility How widely the price of ConocoPhillips shares swings over a year, measured statistically.
- Largest historical drawdown The deepest fall of ConocoPhillips shares from a high to the low that followed it, across the whole available history.
Verdict
Our verdict, from an automated analysis of over 400 indicators
32.3/100
Neutru
high confidence
Expensive
Solid
Growth
In short: the balance sheet holds up under shocks.
ConocoPhillips produces 8.58% on capital and pays 5.05% for it. But the price today asks 19.95x earnings, and the growth rate has slowed to -9.26% a year.
Scores across the six pillarsprofitability
return on capital 8.58%The engine runs at middling speed
produces
8.58%
costs
5.05%
Between what capital produces and what it costs, 3.52% remains.
- net margin13.60%
- consecutive revenue growth1 years
valuation
price / earnings 19.95xThe price demands patience
19.95xprice / earnings
$59.36 – $183.21the range across 6 methods
The 6 methods give results 3.1 times apart, so no single estimated fair value is trustworthy.
- annual growth the price requires-3.74%
- growth delivered historically-9.69%
- value with no growth at all$102.61
growth
revenue, 3 years -9.26%The pace has slowed
25.63%revenue, 5-year average
-9.26%revenue, 3-year average
14.43%of today's price depends on future growth
balance sheet and dividends
estimated rating AaaNothing to fault
Aaaestimated credit rating
1.01 yearsof operating profit to clear all debt
- net debt$17.45B
- dividend yield2.88%
- of returned capital goes to buybacks27.35%
arguments for and against
8 for · 2 againstWhat supports the case and what weakens it
Pro 8 arguments
- Free cash flow growth (5-year annual): 186.43%.Better than 99% of companies in the sector. Average yearly growth in free cash flow.
- Montier C-score (0–6): 0.Better than 94% of companies in the sector. Six warning signals about the quality of accounting.
- Beneish M-score: -3.76.Better than 93% of companies in the sector. Model that detects patterns of aggressive accounting.
5 more arguments
- Cash conversion rate: 209.98%.Better than 88% of companies in the sector. How much of accounting profit actually turns into cash.
- Free cash flow margin: 28.57%.Better than 87% of companies in the sector. How much of sales is left as free cash after investment.
- Free cash flow yield: 12.55%.Better than 87% of companies in the sector. How much free cash the company produces relative to its market value.
- Credit health score: 97.36.Better than 86% of companies in the sector. Composite score summarising the firm's ability to carry its debt.
- Rule of 40: 36.08%.Better than 82% of companies in the sector. Revenue growth added to the profitability margin.
Against 2 arguments
- Price / floor value: 2.14x.Only 23% of companies in the sector do worse on this measure. Price against a conservative minimum valuation.
- Margin of safety: -41.68%.Only 27% of companies in the sector do worse on this measure. How far the market price sits below our fair-value estimate.
what is left to decide
Middling quality
and a stretched price.
Neither the business nor the price stands out. This is a case decided on details, not on the big picture.
For this to work out, results would have to grow enough to catch up with the price paid today.
Disclosure (legal information) See details Hide
Analysis produced by einvestitii.ro, founder . We are not supervised by the Romanian Financial Supervisory Authority. This is not personalised investment advice. Fair values are estimates, not guaranteed prices.
- Calculated 10 August 2026
- Price used $119.92 (as of 10 June 2026)
- Estimated fair value $84.64 — an estimate dependent on assumptions (cost of capital, growth, terminal value). Not a price target. Confidence: Înaltă.
- Updates On every recalculation of the company fundamentals.
- Verdict changed no (score +0.2 against the previous assessment)
- Conflicts of interest We hold no positions in the instruments analysed and receive no payment from issuers for assessments. Pages may contain affiliate links to brokers, marked as such, which do not influence the scores.