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GME (GME) — analiză, scor și evaluare

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Is it worth investing?

GME has weaknesses in the business, at a price that demands patience.

$22.42 -26.10% over 12 months Last updated: iun. 10, 2026

GME (GME) is a company in the Specialty Retail industry, listed on NYSE, with a market capitalisation of 10.1 billion USD. The stock trades at 22.42 USD, 26% below its 52-week high.

Against trailing twelve-month earnings, the price asks 13.2 times profit, versus 14.0 times for the industry median. Return on equity stands at 14.7%, against an industry median of 11.5%.

Over the past twelve months the stock returned -26.1%, against +24.8% for SPY over the same period. The analysis below covers valuation, profitability, growth, the balance sheet and price behaviour, with data updated daily.

Key data

The reported figures, before any interpretation

Price and Trading

  • Open The price at which GME shares first traded in the latest session.
  • Close The price of the last GME trade in the session that closed.
  • Day range The lowest and highest price GME shares reached in that session.
  • Volume How many GME shares changed hands in the latest session.
  • 52-week range The lowest and highest price of GME shares over the past year.
  • Position in the 52-week range Where the current price of GME shares sits between the low and the high of the past year. 100% means right at the high.
  • 50-day average The average price of GME shares over the last 50 sessions. Shows the short-term trend.
  • 200-day average The average price of GME shares over the last 200 sessions. Shows the long-term trend.
  • Market cap The market value of all GME shares combined.

Earnings and Valuation

  • Earnings per share How much net profit belongs to a single GME share over the last twelve months.
  • Estimated earnings, current year The earnings per share analysts expect from GME for the current financial year.
  • Estimated earnings, next year The earnings per share expected from GME for the following financial year.
  • Revenue per share How much of the annual sales of GME belongs to a single share.
  • Book value per share How much GME equity belongs to one share, once debt is subtracted from assets.
  • Revenue, last 12 months Total GME sales across the last four reported quarters.
  • Price / earnings How many years of current profit a GME share costs at today price.
  • Forward price / earnings The same ratio, but against the profit GME is expected to make next year.
  • PEG The price/earnings ratio of GME divided by its growth rate. Below 1 is considered cheap relative to how fast it grows.
  • Enterprise value / EBITDA The price of the whole GME business, debt included, against operating profit before depreciation.

Return and Risk

Moderate risk · 61
  • Net margin How much net profit GME keeps out of every unit of sales.
  • Return on equity How much net profit GME produces from shareholder money.
  • Dividend yield How much GME pays out in dividends each year, relative to the share price.
  • Dividend per share The estimated annual amount received for each GME share held.
  • Payout ratio What share of GME profit goes back to shareholders as dividends. The rest stays in the company.
  • Beta How strongly GME shares move against the market. 1 means the same, above 1 means wider swings.
  • Debt / equity How much debt GME carries for every unit of equity.
  • Short interest as % of float What share of freely tradable GME stock is sold short, as a bet on a decline.
  • Days to cover short positions How many normal trading days it would take to close every short position on GME.

Some values update after the trading session opens, others are recalculated after it closes. Figures from the financial statements change only when results are published.

Verdict

The GME score from 0 to 100, built from over 400 financial indicators. Not investment advice.

Bankruptcy tests place GME in the caution zone.
Revenue has fallen 15% a year over three years.

Debt runs 10.4 times annual operating profit. Free cash flow covers 7% of the price each year. Averaged over five years, capital returned less than it cost.

Neutral
Fairly priced Balanced Mixed
  • In Consumer Cyclical, GME is below the sector average on shareholder yield, stability and momentum.
  • neutral verdicts returned a median of +12.2% over one year, across 63,296 assessments.

Analysis produced automatically by einvestitii.ro, on data as of aug. 24, 2026. It is not investment advice. Who produces it, what it rests on and what conflicts of interest exist — in the full disclosure.

Arguments for and against

What supports the case and what weakens it

Pro 7 arguments

  • The net margin at GME is 20.4%, above the typical company in the sector.The sector median is 5.3%.
  • Each unit of shareholder capital produces 14.7% of profit a year.Above the sector median of 10.4%.
  • GME trades at 13.2 times annual earnings.The typical company in the sector asks 15.1 times.
See all 7
  • The bankruptcy model places the company in the safe zone.The Altman score is 10.51, against the 2.60 threshold below which the risk zone starts.
  • Management bought a net $9.7M over the past year.3 distinct buyers. Those who know the company best put their own money in.
  • The 50-day price average sits above the 200-day.The opposite of the warning setup. The price sits 3.2% above the long average.
  • Institutions were net buyers last quarter: 12 funds added, 9 trimmed.Together they hold 37.3% of the company.

Against 6 arguments

  • Revenue grew -6.5% a year over the past five years.Below the typical company in the sector, which grew 9.8%.
  • Debt is 10.43 times annual operating profit.Above the sector median of 2.6. A weak stretch leaves less room to manoeuvre.
  • The dividend yield is 1.7%, below the risk-free rate in US.Government bonds pay 4.7%, without the risk of a share.
See all 6
  • No barrier is identified that keeps competitors at bay.Without a durable edge, margins depend on execution, not position.
  • Each unit reinvested produces less than it costs.Return on capital is 3.0%, its cost 8.8%. Expansion consumes value.
  • 14.0% of the free float is sold short.Covering would take 6.22 days. A sizeable group is betting on a fall.

What it is really worth

Value & Valuation

The market price is what buyers are asking today. Here we work out what the share should cost based on the company’s own figures: using the valuation models professional investors rely on, the growth the current price assumes, and the target set by the analysts who follow the company.

what analysts think

What the analysts covering the company think, and where they see the price twelve months out. These are their estimates, not ours.

Analyst consensus What the 1 analysts covering the company think
Strong sell average 1.00 out of 5, from 1 analysts
Strong sell Strong buy
  • Strong sell 1 100%
  • Sell 0 0%
  • Hold 0 0%
  • Buy 0 0%
  • Strong buy 0 0%

The analyst consensus is more cautious than our score, by 50 points on the same 0 to 100 scale.

Analyst estimates, third-party source. These are not our verdict.

Price target Where analysts see the price twelve months out
$13.50 -39.79% against today price
52-week low $19.93 52-week high $28.10
target $13.50 today $22.42
Rise from the low of the past year +12.49%
Fall from the high of the past year -20.21%
  • Price today $22.42
  • Revisions, last 30 days 0 ↑1 ↓
  • Expected earnings growth -18.18%
  • Analysts covering 1

Analyst estimates, third-party source.

fair value

Slightly overvalued price $22.42

the price is 1.2 times the estimate from 5 models

What GME shares should cost, according to the valuation models of the best-known investors in history.

These are estimates, not price targets: every model starts from assumptions about the future, and if the assumptions change, so does the number.

$18.79estimated fair value
$9.84 – $27.68range across models
1.2×price versus estimate
fair range $9.84 – $27.68price today $22.42
  • Median of 5 modelsNot the average, but the middle value. A model that falls far out of line does not drag the result with it.
  • Confidence in the estimateHow close the models are to one another.
  • Spread across modelsHow far they deviate from the median on average. Below 50% means they are reasonably close.
  • Growth the price demandsHow fast profit would have to grow, year after year, for today’s price to make sense.
  • Growth actually deliveredThe average growth of past years. Compare it with the line above.
The models, one by one

5 different methods, the same company figures. Each assumes something different about the future, and that is where the differences come from.

Graham Number$22.32EPS $1.70 · book value $12.15
Graham Formula$11.18EPS $1.70
Lynch Fair Price$8.50EPS $1.70
Buffett with growth$33.05$1.65 · WACC 8.8%
Buffett without growth$18.79$1.65 ÷ WACC 8.8%

What growth the price already assumes

For today’s price to be justified, earnings would have to grow -8.6% a year. Over the past five years they grew 6.7%.

  • Growth the price requiresThe annual pace earnings would have to reach for today’s price to be justified.
  • Growth actually deliveredHow much earnings per share actually grew over the past five years.
  • The gapHow far above past performance the expectation in the price sits.
  • Value with no growthWhat the company would be worth if it stayed exactly as it is today.
What moves the estimate most

Starting from a base value of $44.18, how much the result changes if you alter each assumption in turn.

Cost of capital±49.7%$35.76 – $57.71
Earnings growth±25.7%$38.83 – $50.18
Long-term growth±20.4%$40.20 – $49.20

The cost of capital moves the estimate almost three times as much as earnings growth.

projections

Projection computed on 18 august 2026

These are not predictions. The model splits the possible outcomes into ranges and reports how often the price landed in each, across similar cases in the past.

Where the price could go Six months out, from a probabilistic model
+6,9% most likely · $23.96
pessimistic −26,3% optimistic +47,0%
today's price $22.42 median $23.96
Pessimistic scenario $16.53
Optimistic scenario $32.95
  • 12 months out · median +12,0% −41% … +86%
  • 3 years out, per year · median +11,3% +0% … +18%
  • 5 years out, per year · median +11,7% +2% … +14%
  • Of which repricing, per year −3,3%

Quantiles of a probabilistic model. Not price targets.

With what probability Out of 100 situations like this one, in how many it happened
Tilted favourable in 59% of cases, higher than today
lower higher
  • Higher than today's price 59%
  • Better than the index 53% index +4,5%
  • Gain over 20% 33%
  • Drop over 10% 27%
  • Drop over 20% 15%

If the market fell 20%, the model expects −21,8% for this stock — because it moves 1,04 times as hard as the market. On a 40% fall: −43,6%.

Probabilities verified on historical cases.

profitability

return on capital 2.98%

This is the weak spot

produces
2.98%
costs
8.80%

Capital costs more than it produces: -5.82% short of the point where the business starts creating value.

  • net margin20.45%
  • consecutive revenue growth0 years

growth

revenue, 3 years -15.08%

The pace has slowed

-6.54%revenue, 5-year average
-15.08%revenue, 3-year average
16.19%of today's price depends on future growth

balance sheet and dividends

Solid balance sheet

10.43 yearsof operating profit to clear all debt
  • net debt$-3.06B
  • dividend yield0.00%
  • of returned capital goes to buybacks0.00%
what is left to decide

Below-average quality
and a stretched price.

The business has weaknesses and the price offers no margin to cover them.

For this to work out, the growth rate would have to resume, not merely stabilise.

The next quarterly report is in 2 days.

Disclosure (legal information) See details Hide

Analysis produced by einvestitii.ro, founder . We are not supervised by the Romanian Financial Supervisory Authority. This is not personalised investment advice. Fair values are estimates, not guaranteed prices.

  • Calculated 24 August 2026
  • Price used $22.42 (as of 10 June 2026)
  • Estimated fair value $18.79 — an estimate dependent on assumptions (cost of capital, growth, terminal value). Not a price target. Confidence: Medie.
  • Updates On every recalculation of the company fundamentals.
  • Verdict changed no (score +4.4 against the previous assessment)
  • Conflicts of interest We hold no positions in the instruments analysed and receive no payment from issuers for assessments. Pages may contain affiliate links to brokers, marked as such, which do not influence the scores.