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Brent crude oil (BZ) - analysis, score and valuation

Brent Crude OilBZCOMM
102.70USD+0.39 (+0.38%)
Market open
Prev close
102.31
Open
102.75
Volume
749
Today
102.33 - 102.91
Investește acum

What it costs and how it moves

Brent crude oil, the price swings 40.5% in a typical year

$102.70 +52.04% since 2026-02-05 Last updated: 2026-10-02

The Brent crude oil price is $102.70 per barrel today, or $0.65 per litre.

Over the past year the price has ranged between $58.92 and $118.35, and it now sits 13.2% below the high.

The price swings 40.5% in a typical year, and the deepest fall of the last 2 years was 32.5%.

Brent crude oil price today

$102.70

today's price, per barrel

Low $58.92High $118.35
Against the year's low+74.3%
Against the year's high-13.2%
Past week+24.0%
Past month+24.0%
Past 3 months+24.0%

Volatility

5.3%

how far the price travels on a typical day, between that day's low and high

  • Volatility over a yearHow far the price rises and falls in a typical year.
  • The deepest fallHow much the price lost from its highest peak to the lowest point after it, over the last 2 years.
  • On $1,000 investedNot what you gain or lose in a day, but how far the price travels between the day’s low and high, on a sum this size.
  • Days it moved under 2%Counted over the last 91 trading days.
  • Days between 2% and 5%Counted over the last 91 trading days.
  • Days over 5%Counted over the last 91 trading days.

How it is quoted

$0.65

per litre, from today's quote

  • Price unitThe international quote is in US dollars, per the unit the contract trades in.
  • ExchangeThe exchange where the benchmark contract trades. Brokers take their price from there.
  • What this price isThe price of the futures contract with the nearest expiry, not of the physical goods in a shop. Physical products sell at a premium over it.
  • TradesCounted from the price series: not a single Saturday or Sunday in the last 91 trading days.

How to invest in Brent crude oil

It is simpler than it looks. In a few steps you will know where to trade Brent crude oil, what it costs to start and what to know first.

Brent crude oil technical analysis

What the Brent crude oil price chart shows: 17 technical signals, including the 200-day moving average, RSI and MACD, combined into a single score from -100 (signals pointing down) to +100 (signals pointing up).

Technical

-44Out of ±100

Negative

Signals: 4 positive and 10 negative, but no clear trend (ADX 17): the price is going nowhere. The heaviest weight comes from the “MACD” family; the “price against the moving averages” family points the other way.

Price against the moving averages: +0.67

Price vs MA200+31.3% from the average
Price vs MA50+1.9% from the average
MA50 vs MA200Short average above the long one

MACD: -1.00

MACD histogram-1.18
MACD line vs 0-4.18

Position in the recent range: -1.00

RSI 1431.5
CCI 20-165
Bollinger %B0.04

Long-term momentum: -0.33

Aroon oscillator-76
Coppock-23.0
12-month momentum+44% over 12 months

Volume and money flow: 0.00

Money flow CMF-0.172
OBV volume, 50dSlope +0.045

Breakouts and reversals: -1.00

Parabolic SARAbove price, falling
Donchian channelBreak below the 20-day low

The biggest Brent crude oil price moves of the past year

The days when the price jumped far more than usual, and when they happened.

The biggest one-day moves

11 days when the Brent crude oil price moved far more than usual: 4 up, 7 down.

  • jun
  • jul
  • aug
  • sep
  • oct
  • nov
  • dec
  • jan
  • feb
  • mar
  • apr
jun 2025apr 2026
  • rose sharply
  • fell sharply
  • quiet month

Tap a month to see its days.

  • Biggest rise in one day+8.5% on 2026-03-06
  • Biggest fall in one day-14.5% on 2026-04-01
  • The most turbulent monthmar 2026, 3 days

What you would have made

What has already happened, taken out of percentages and put into money.

What you would have made by investing in Brent crude oil

$1,000 put in Brent crude oil 10 years ago would have grown to $2,097, a return of 7.69% a year. Type your own amount and everything recalculates.

$
  • a year ago$1,384of which $384 is gain, at 38.35% a year
  • 3 years ago$1,357of which $357 is gain, at 10.72% a year
  • 5 years ago$1,388of which $388 is gain, at 6.78% a year
  • 10 years ago$2,097of which $1,097 is gain, at 7.69% a year

These figures have already happened and are not an estimate for what comes next. They are worked out on the Brent crude oil price; a fund or a contract would have given a slightly different result, because of storage costs and the switch from one contract to the next. The amounts are before tax and fees.

Brent crude oil: all-time high and biggest drops

The highest point reached, and the falls along the way, with how long each took to recover.

All-time high

The highest point reached since 2007, compared with today.

-29.7%

below the all-time high

today $102.70high $146.08
  • The high, reached on 2008-07-03$146.08
  • Time since then18 years and 3 months
  • To get back to the high, it has to rise+42.2%

Biggest drops since 2007

From a peak to the lowest point after it, how long the fall lasted and how long the recovery took.

  • Jul 2008 - Apr 2020-86.8%fell for 11 years and 10 months and has not got back to that peak: it has been below it for 17 years and 11 months
  • Jan 2008 - Jan 2008-11.5%fell for 21 days, then took 27 days to get back to the peak
  • Jul 2007 - Aug 2007-10.9%fell for 21 days, then took 22 days to get back to the peak

Measured on each day’s closing price since 2007-07-30, as far back as our data goes. The key data above shows the biggest fall of the last 2 years; this is the whole history.

Brent crude oil seasonality: average return by month

Which months of the year the price has usually risen in, and which it has fallen in.

Average return, month by month

How much the price rose or fell on average in each month of the year, over the last 8 years.

  • jan
  • feb
  • mar
  • apr
  • may
  • jun
  • jul
  • aug
  • sep
  • oct
  • nov
  • dec
  • rose on average
  • fell on average

Tap a month to see its average.

  • The best monthJanuary, +6.47%
  • The weakest monthNovember, -3.28%
  • Months that rose on average8 of 12

An average over 8 years means only 8 observations for each month. It is a curiosity, not a signal: a good month in the past says nothing about what the price will do this year.

How much does the Brent crude oil price depend on the stock market?

If the price rises and falls with shares, it will not protect you when the stock market drops.

The link with the S&P 500

On a scale from -1 to 1, how far the two prices move in the same direction, day by day.

-0.01

the tie to the S&P 500

-1 opposite ways0 no linkin step +1

The Brent crude oil price moves largely on its own: what the S&P 500 does explains very little of its moves.

  • Against the S&P 500, over the last 2 years-38.9 percentage points

The figure says how often the two prices move alike, not that one drives the other. A weak link makes Brent crude oil a different piece in a portfolio, not a safer one.

Brent crude oil volatility now, compared with its history

How much it has moved over the last 30 days, set against every stretch of the same length so far.

How turbulent it is now

Volatility over the last 30 days, placed among every 30-day stretch since 2007.

43.2%

annualised volatility, from the last 30 days

calmestusualmost turbulent

Brent crude oil is now far more turbulent than usual: the last 30 days have been more turbulent than 83% of all 30-day stretches since 2007.

  • Usually (median)28.4%
  • In 8 stretches out of 10, between16.4% and 52.5%
  • Most turbulent, in April 2020165.8%

Annualised volatility is how far the price would swing over a year if it stayed as turbulent as in the last 30 days. It says how much it moves, not which way.

Made up your mind? Start investing in Brent crude oil

At a broker you gain if the price moves the way you bet and lose if it moves the other way. You can start with a small amount, and the steps take under fifteen minutes.

The Brent crude oil price moves 5.3% on an average day, up or down. That is where both the gain and the risk come from.